MMA betting is one of the fastest growing markets at online sportsbooks worldwide. But it’s not just a shot in the dark; it requires research and thoughtful analysis to make smart wagers.
Whether you’re a fan of the adrenaline-fueled sport or simply want to know what all the fuss is about, this article will help you make better wagers on your next fight. It covers the basics of MMA betting, such as how to place basic bets like over/under rounds totals and a fighter’s win probability, as well as some more complex bets such as parlays.
Over/Under Rounds Bets
Probably the most basic type of MMA bet, over/under rounds is a wager on how many rounds a fight will last. Oddsmakers will set an Over/Under number based on the expected length of a fight and assign a price for both the Over and Under (including vig or juice). A successful bet on an over/under will result in a payout if all rounds are completed.
Fighters can be unpredictable and often surprise the MMA betting world by bringing in a fight they shouldn’t. Usually, this is because of injuries, but sometimes it’s due to other factors. For example, a fighter can suffer a devastating KO loss that takes a lot out of them mentally. That may cause them to be more cautious inside the octagon, changing their style and approach.
In addition, bettors should keep an eye on a fighter’s weight cuts. Depending on their experience and style of fighting, some fighters can cut weight more effectively than others. Others, especially those who are cutting down to a lower weight class, can struggle to make the limit. They may overtrain, starve themselves, or dehydrate themselves to lose enough weight. This can leave them drained for their fight and can give their opponents an advantage.
Another factor to consider is a fighter’s previous performance against higher-level competition. For example, a fighter can build a strong resume against top-level opposition but struggle to perform when facing lesser foes. This is because they’re used to the faster pace of their opponents and haven’t had a chance to adapt to the slower pace of their lesser opponents. This can make them a poor choice to bet on as a favorite.
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