MMA betting is a fast-paced and adrenaline-fueled way to wager on the sport. But it’s important to keep a level head, set betting budgets and recognise when to step back from the table.
The moneyline bet is one of the most popular MMA betting markets, and it’s easy to understand. Simply put, it’s a bet on which fighter will win the fight. A win will see your bet return a profit, while a loss will mean you lose the bet. A draw will also result in a lost bet, as the match will end in a split decision (and therefore a tie).
Method of Victory
Betting on the method of victory for MMA matches is another popular market and there are several different options available, including KO/TKO, submission and judges’ scorecards (including a Draw). The Over/Under Rounds bet is a simpler option for predicting how many rounds the fight will last. This is based on the general line set by sportsbooks, but you can find alternate lines either higher or lower to improve your chances of winning and enhance the value of your bet.
Pay attention to how the fighters have fared against opponents with similar fighting styles. For instance, an aggressive fighter may struggle to adapt to a more passive opponent who seeks to craft victories over the distance. It’s also worth assessing the venue, as fighters competing in front of their home crowd can be boosted or hampered by the emotional support from fans.
The odds that you’ll see on a given MMA bout are carefully calculated by statisticians and mathematicians. For example, when calculating future bets like who will be the next UFC champion, oddsmakers consider previous fight results, injuries, weather forecasts and even a fighter’s strengths and weaknesses to determine their probability of winning.
Hype vs Reality
While it’s important to learn the statistics of a fighter’s takedown defence, striking accuracy and other factors, you should avoid making rash bets for or against a certain fighter based on their popularity. This is because a fighter’s reputation might be greater than their actual skill set and could lead to you being overtaken by emotion or blinded by hype.
Moreover, don’t forget that fighters sometimes move up or down in weight classes. This can affect their performance, especially if they’re adjusting to the new weight class. If they are moving up, the fighter may need time to adjust and acclimatise to the heavier competition while fighters who are coming down will struggle to maintain their power in the new weight class. This can lead to a slow start, which is often when a fighter makes their first mistake in a new division. This can be a great opportunity for bettors to get involved with the fight early.
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